Samir Doughty and Auburn are 8 1/2-point favorites versus Ole Miss on Tuesday night, despite the Tigers merely winning their last three home games by 12 total points.
Kentucky boasts strong seasonal wins over Louisville, LSU, Michigan State, Texas Tech and Tennessee … and yet, the 21-5 Wildcats haven’t gotten much love from analytics sites.
Dwayne Sutton and the No. 11 Louisville Cardinals have won their last five home games (all ACC foes) by an average margin of 11 points.
At 21-3 overall, the Duke Blue Devils (wins over Michigan State, Florida State, Kansas) rate no worse than No. 6 with the NCAA Net rankings, KenPom and ESPN’s Basketball Power Index.
If the NCAA tournament started today … Devin Dotson and top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks would be slated for the Indianapolis-based Midwest regional.
Jordan Nwora and the Louisville Cardinals (No. 5 in AP poll, No. 6 in ESPN’s BPI listing) have won eight straight ACC outings — including a solid road victory over No. 7 Duke.
Potential NBA lottery pick Obi Toppin and his Dayton Flyers (17-2 overall, 6-0 in the Atlantic 10) rank no lower than fifth with KenPom, ESPN’s BPI and the NCAA’s NET listing.
Nojel Eastern and the Purdue Boilermakers (10-9 overall) haven’t experienced a close-shave result (five points or less) in their last five games.
The Baylor Bears (14-1 overall) boast road wins against Kansas and Texas Tech, along with strong victories over Arizona, Butler, Texas, Iowa State and Villanova
Niners tailback Tevin Coleman rolled for 105 rushing yards and two scores in last week’s home thumping of the Vikings.